Mobhare Matinyi, Thursday, 28 March 2013 21:21
Two weeks ago Kenyans surprised the world when they
elected their fourth president in a relatively peaceful election compared to
the past four multiparty polls. The only recorded deaths occurred in Mombasa
where separatists unsuccessfully attempted to disrupt the polls.
The presidential polls saw the Deputy Prime Minister,
Uhuru Kenyatta, 51, emerging the winner after barely crossing the finishing
line set at 50 per cent plus one vote. The president-elect received 50.07 per
cent leaving his opponent, Prime Minister Raila Odinga, 68, at 43.31 per
cent. Only a few thousand votes helped avoid a possible second round,
assuming the election was not rigged.
The mere fact that Kenyatta won by such a small margin was
enough to spark unprecedented violence but Kenyans remained calm; this was
after they had come out in large numbers, about 86 per cent of registered
voters, to elect their leaders. Clearly, Kenyans went to the polls determined
not to kill each other.
But how did Kenyans, known for political violence, conduct
a peaceful election? In fact, had it not been for the technical fault, as
claimed by the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC), this
could have been the best conducted election in Africa. Today, Africa needs to
learn something from Kenya.
Honestly, the first reason was the fact that the Kenyan
people were so content with their new constitution promulgated on August 27,
2010 with an approval of 67 per cent from voters. Remember, Kenyans had
attempted to have a new constitution before in 2005 but for some reasons
people rejected it in a referendum. The 2010 constitution completely changed
the polity of Kenya, and for the first time it fully addressed the
aspirations of the people.
Certainly, this new constitution is responsible for the
second reason, and that is, the formation of an independent electoral body,
the IEBC which also took charge of setting the new boundaries of 47 counties
and electoral constituencies. Kenyans trusted the IEBC and even when things
went wrong in the electronic system, they still maintained their trust for
the whole week, and that saved their nation.
Third was the mere fact that the incumbent, President Mwai
Kibaki, was not running again after seeing out his two terms. In Africa, when
an incumbent is running again things get so complicated because they will use
whatever means at their disposal to win the election, and that can set a
nation on fire. Luckily for Kenya, this time Kibaki was retiring. We hope
that Kenyatta will not resort to those tricks come March 2018.
Fourth, let us not forget that the post-election violence
of 2007/08 taught Kenyans a big lesson, that no one is a winner in any civil
war. The nation lost more than 1,000 innocent people simply because some
people wanted to rule and others wanted to be ruled. That experience was
unfortunate and without a doubt Kenyans took it as a serious lesson.
Another important factor was the legal opportunity that
allows political parties in Kenya to form coalitions, something which in the
past was used to cement ethnic politics in every election.
However, this time the same was used to save the nation
because one big coalition brought together the most rival tribes that have
been killing each other in every election. Although this union was neither
based on policies nor patriotism, it still worked successfully because
politically-strong personalities were behind it.
One thing in Kenya is that people care less about
political parties, and in fact some Kenyans cannot even name the political
parties behind these coalitions; they care a lot about personalities. Of
course, it is better to bank on policies rather than personalities, but that
is still too difficult for Kenyans. They still need to work on this!
So, Kenyatta, a Kikuyu, agreed with his fellow inductee at
the International Criminal Court (ICC), William Ruto, a Kalenjin, to form the
Jubilee Coalition in anticipation that winning the presidency will
miraculously rescue them from claws of the ICC. So the Kalenjins found no
reason to fight their traditional nemesis, the Kikuyus.
The Jubilee Coalition was therefore formed by Kenyatta,
Ruto as running mate, and a few others in January 2013; one month after
Odinga had formed the Coalition for Reforms and Democracy (CORD).
Unfortunately for Odinga, he had a numerical disadvantage from the start
since the Kikuyus and Kalenjins and the close-related ethnic groups form over
40 per cent of the Kenyan electorate.
Worse for Odinga, he failed to push his people to register
for voting, thus by the deadline of December 18, 2012, he was left somehow
hopeless. Probably, that as well saved Kenya. Imagine if the difference
between Odinga and Kenyatta was less than one per cent?
Anyway, it didn’t happen.Kenyans have reminded us once
again, that whenever there is justice, there is peace. Africans need to take
this lesson seriously!
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1 comment:
Very good article Mr.Mantinyi I always like your articles.
Thank for the information.
Bill Mwandambo.
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